Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 62.458602 70.665241 79.123312 88.461294 98.451639 108.791131 120.272296
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 49.723762 61.375006 73.992833 88.546852 104.749621 122.121499 142.043508
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 42.136285 55.613938 70.760356 88.783974 109.400624 132.022432 158.500107
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 36.719806 51.483362 68.624952 89.568300 114.062760 141.439822 173.996307
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 31.467865 46.891191 65.384064 88.553024 116.212464 147.645762 185.554751
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 28.282868 44.466218 64.415565 89.938426 120.920791 156.600172 200.106026
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 25.762400 42.607602 63.912944 91.689884 125.908054 165.768754 214.832052
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 22.468139 39.396940 61.439381 90.779875 127.500791 170.799820 224.621024
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 19.099248 35.747626 58.123123 88.567420 127.297858 173.533131 231.571947
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 18.143447 35.427711 59.131268 91.823927 133.830226 184.348319 248.134195
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 16.962202 34.657400 59.445836 94.117654 139.119554 193.644333 262.890922
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 14.832314 32.247215 57.349465 93.111272 140.136183 197.653827 271.239115
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 12.828348 29.856636 55.163845 91.913502 140.883626 201.353657 279.283310
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 11.418931 28.286471 54.049480 92.087695 143.352563 207.165956 289.907015
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 10.173959 26.854943 53.035678 92.318251 145.835301 212.957592 300.486123
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.193741 25.778885 52.476230 93.123481 149.036667 219.634205 312.155497
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.899738 23.966770 50.675860 92.083170 149.715117 223.070515 319.781619
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.250403 23.306789 50.620250 93.502398 153.671009 230.675363 332.607309
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 6.730289 22.842826 50.839055 95.296285 158.125377 238.924590 346.259638
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 5.760200 21.314535 49.243600 94.364269 158.818884 242.303242 353.784020
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 4.684934 19.366182 46.820690 92.097949 157.596732 243.140592 358.058259
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 4.575033 19.618558 48.121454 95.433564 164.144580 254.113517 375.197876
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 4.325639 19.504239 48.774999 97.782366 169.324145 263.314799 390.116289